Does anyone outside of the initial miners believe this will end up anything more than a few cents in 2015?
I do. I don't own any XPY, never have, never will. I think it's scammy as hell.
But he's got a dedicated base of true believers. The number of coins
actually available to trade is tiny and easy to manipulate. The market cap looks huge because it counts all the premine coins, so it looks a lot bigger than it really is. There will be some kind of pre-paid card or something, some lame shopping options. He just posted that he's going to integrate an exchange into paybase, which will make manipulation even easier and provide new sources of cash flow. Just because it's scammy doesn't mean it's a short-term pump and dump like so many alt coins with huge premines. This one's got legs. It's going to take some time to play out.