System | Examples | bitcoin unit | Chances of success | If Bitcoin losses in the long term |
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Traditional Systems | Paypal, Credit Cards, SWIFT, CHAPS | No | These systems are already dominant | No significant impact, Bitcoin could continue as a niche system |
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Off Chain transactions | Coinbase, Changetip, MT Gox, Circle | Yes | Unlikely to offer significant advantages over Traditional Systems in the long run | Potentially catastrophic for both Bitcoin and Off Chain Transaction companies. Security on Bitcoin could fall as mining incentives could be low, whilst the incentive to attack could increase. At the same time off chain credit expansion could occur, undermining the monetary policy of Bitcoin. |
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Alt Coins - Bitcoin clones | Litecoin, Dogecoin | No | Unlikely to offer significant advantages over Bitcoin in the long run | No significant impact, Bitcoin could continue as a niche system |
|
Alternative consensus mechanisms | Peercoin (Proof of Stake), BitShares (Delegated Proof of Stake), Tendermint | No | Competition is interesting and these type of alternatives could eventually succeed | No significant impact, Bitcoin could continue as a niche system |
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Sidechains | Blockstream | Yes | Unlikely to offer significant advantages over alternative consensus mechanisms in the long run, except the use of bitcoin the currency could be an advantage in obtaining users and providing an early incentive to hack/test the system | Potentially catastrophic for both Bitcoin and Sidechains. Security on Bitcoin could fall as mining incentives could be low, whilst the incentive to attack Bitcoin could increase. The inherent value of bitcoin could be under threat, as one could do trust-less financial transactions in bitcoin without needing to spend bitcoin in fees |
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Layers on top of Bitcoin | Counterparty, Colored Coins, Mastercoin | No | Success likely to depend on Bitcoin's success | Bitcoin the system and bitcoin the currency cannot lose in this scenario. The success of these systems imply high transaction volume and high demand for bitcoin to be used as transaction fees. Bitcoin wins in this scenario |