Ok Bill Nye, let's break it down:
First off this is a serious post although it may appear as trolling to some who don't value science as much as I do.
Circumstance:
- pirate's business remarkably resembles as HYIP ponzi scheme an inevitable outcome of which will result in a total loss for everyone who "invested" with him
- there is no actual credible evidence that would either confirm or deny that pirate runs a ponzi*
does not equal
it's certain they are getting scamed and will lose everything
You need to go reread about causation and then work on your logic skills.