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Board Investor-based games
Re: WeeklyPonzi.com 'v3' | 100% Automated | Secure | 130% Return | 700+ BTC Invested
by
dyask
on 21/01/2015, 06:23:55 UTC
OP did you test your new script yet confirming it can detect to the milisecond when there's heavy flow of deposits ?

It is extremely doubtful that the script couldn't keep up with such a small amount of transactions.  Probably what happens is the IPN is looking at the transactions in order it sees, but it is a massive race state around the globe until the transactions are planted into the blockchain.  There are probably multiple versions of lists until a version is accepted by the node that blockchain uses.   Maybe they exist differently for a very long time.  

Additionally around GMT 00:00:00 I did a series of transactions.   There is a wide variation of when they are listed in the blockchain.   The lowest times I saw was 2 seconds, the longest was 6 seconds with most times either 3 to 4 seconds.  

Today the play out time period was less than 3 seconds, which is less than the variation seen in just sending transactions and when they end up on the blockchain.   At this point one would be better to just play a dice game since the overhead is lower and the results are mostly random.   ~1% for a dice game vs 6.5% for the Ponzi, based on the deposits.    

In his twitter, he mentioned he is going to use the blockchain timestamp, so that should fix the issue. but today everything was a mess.

It doesn't fix the issue, it just removes another layer of confusion.   It is still somewhat random.   One can control when they start the transaction, but how much time it takes for the transaction to appear on the blockchain can't be controlled.   So you still could be the best at timing and lose because the node the handled the transaction was slow sending the transaction to other nodes.  

The only thing you can do to help it is to run your own bitcoin node.   Even that will only reduce the variability.   You are still depended on what the other nodes connected to your node are doing and what kind of network connections exist.  

The payout window tomorrow will probably be less than two seconds.    Trying to hit that window will take a good start and luck.  It is pretty risky for small 30% return where you can lose everything.   If the payout window was 4 or 5 seconds wide, you would just be betting on your own timing.  The problem is you can't control how long the transaction will take to get to listed.