He actually took out some of the risk. I didnt see it until just above that he put in 8 BTC. That means there will be less losers then before.
I'm not so sure that the "seed" btc is quite what it appears. There were a LOT of large "donations" fired off to the donation address in the beginning of the round and I can't find an equal number of early deposits (I've only found a little over 4 BTC that wasn't counted for the round). If I don't factor in that 8 BTC "seed", my last predicted payout is right in line with the actual payout:
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/12472870/Misc/WeeklyPonzi-Week3.jpg...but if I do factor it in, my spreadsheet shows the payout being much higher up the list than it currently is.
Maybe something went wonky with the script and it sent too much to the donation address, so he just balanced it back out.
