A hard fork would be a good opportunity for new players to get a foothold to replace those left behind.
how would anyone who has no coins now have coins after the hard fork ?
the current mining pools with all the hashing power might have something to say about about that
its not like theyre going to just quit and throw all their asics in the garbage just because the block size changes
whichever chain is the strongest will be mined and the other disregarded ,i would say its probably going to be increased to 20MB whether everyone "agrees" or not ......