Post
Topic
Board Mining speculation
Re: New diff thread Feb 9 to Feb ? this has a promo for best guess.
by
philipma1957
on 18/02/2015, 04:37:14 UTC

 http://btc.blockr.io/charts  

gives 1 day totals in fact bitcoincharts uses them as a source



Feb 9 --- 162 but a lot of this went to last jump


feb 10---142
feb 11---159
feb 12---124
feb 13---144
feb 14---160-----------------------this is pretty high but this day we had the nice price rally
feb 15---142
feb 16---158
feb 17---149
                      8 full days  should be 8 x 144 = 1152  actual is 1178   that is   +2.225%   since part of feb 9 should be included that actual number right now is around

+2.35 %

I would think

tarmi +2.23%
mavericklm +2.69%
or armedmilitia +2.00%

all have the best shot

will post back in about 5 hours to show the feb 17 block total.
Just added in the feb 17 numbers   and since feb 17 was 149 vs 144 it pushes up just a bit more.

with only 5 days left  getting to negative would mean a lot of low 130 block days need to happen.

this morning we are at ~ 2.38% according to www.bitcoincharts.com

http://www.bitcoincharts.com/

Blocks   344038
Total BTC   13.851M
 
Difficulty   44455415962
Estimated   45516755690 in 698 blks
 
Network total   321159.564 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   6.06 / 595 s


455167/444554 = 1.02387- 1 =   2.387%


 this means tarmi is about           0.15% off
 and mavericklm is about            0.31% off
third place armedmilitia is about 0.38% off
fourth place germangiant about  0.62% off

with 698 blocks to go the four of them are entering the last ⅓ of the adjustment and are all within 0.5% of each other !