Sorry guys, but you can't do TA on something so thinly capitalized. 10% movements are just individual investors moving in and out of positions.
True.
Only in 2017-2018 when XMR is mostly mined can begin to sustain a long-term uptrend.
Untrue.
I shouldn't say it's impossible, but even bitcoin's long-term uptrend was broken a few months ago and 14 million coins are mined.
10%+ yearly supply inflation is formidable. I do believe XMR will have its rallies from now until 2017, but a sustainable uptrend will be very difficult.
10% yearly inflation is completely negligible with an expanding user base. The inflation effect is completely dominated by the effect of an exponential user base growing, in which case 1% or 10% yearly inflation does not make any noticeable difference.
That is the reason why people keep repeating BTC is a deflationnary currency while technically it's not. It is very deflationnary
compared to the user base, in period of expansion.
We simply have a Monero community that is currently not growing much. Yet.
I agree. Think of the magnitude here. With a 2m USD market cap you and 10% supply inflation you need 10% new money coming in for stable value. That is only 200k USD over the course of a year, or 15k USD per month. That is tiny, tiny, tiny with any kind of growth in user base or with any serious investors.