Haha. My original comment was:"The element of timing is missing. All of these options may become true." Independently, I fixed a time of 2018-2019 in order for your probabilities to be reasonable.  Thus, it seems we are of the same mind.

Personally, I think that the most likely scenario is that XMR will definitely beat out DRK/DOGE/PPC within 5 years and become a TOP-5 cryptocurrency behind perhaps litecoin/ethereum/bitshares  with at least 3% of the overall 400 billion dollar crypto market cap, which would be $666.666/XMR, so I'm actually more optimistic than you. At that point, I become an Ultra-high net worth individual (if bitcoin hasn't already made me one) so we should definitely have a $100/XMR party.