Let's see if I've got this straight.

When BCX claims to be about to start doing something you don't approve of, we should believe her 100%, despite ZERO evidence of follow-through?

But....When BCX claims that she was kidding and merely rallying the troops to defend LTC, we should refuse to believe her, despite lacking evidence to the contrary, plus indications that her plan was successful and coblee was kept in the loop?

That's a fascinating way to approach evaluating credibility you got going there bud.  You've discovered a quantum theory of believability!