Well, the price being 252$, it means that everybody who who owns bitcoin thinks that they are worth more than 245$; but, on the other hand, everybody in the world who has some money to spare thinks that 1 BTC is not worth 255$.
Okay. To name just
one objection to such an incredibly naive model of the market:
Misrepresentation of your actual valuation for strategic purposes.
See my post above. There may be "super-traders" that successfully play such complicated short-term trading strategies, and they may take money from less sophisticated traders; but, averaged over all traders, short-term trading will always be a losing game.