Sorry, my interest in this whole bitcoinica shitstorm waned a few weeks ago. Will somebody tl;dr what's been going on lately for me? Or even more to the point, just answer whether the likelihood of me getting my bitcoins back has gone up or down given the events of the past week.
The likelihood hasn't changed one iota. Just a bunch of fanciful stories from zhou tong.
15k BTC was transferred to a lawyer pending Bitcoinica's instructions on what to do with the funds. There was supposed to be a subsequent payment of 20k BTC (I think), which hasn't happened yet. The last thing I remember Zhou saying was he was going after the fiat now. Of course I could be wrong since it is a very long read but that's what I have taken away from it.
Disclaimer: I had none of my personal funds at Bitcoinica and therefore have no horse in this race.