Well no one knows... Bitcoin is still very much an asset whose price is based on speculation. Gox's downfall and the introduction of leveraged trading across exchanges pushed the price worse than ever before. If we manage to go above $310 now, I guess the bear market is over. But those are just my 2 Satoshi...
I think 310 is definitely going to happen in the summer, from now on then its a very slow uptrend with lots of people jumping off the boat in the meantime due scary factor.