To lazy to answer in detail. Observe the market and you will get a clue, why stability is the logical conclusion in this market phase.
Bulls and bears balance each other very well atm.
Guess the next two month will become boring to an almost unbearable level.
Guess the next two month will become boring to an almost unbearable level.
Nothing to see here. Just the expected stabiliaztion of the price. Bears don't have the power to push it further down. Bulls don't have the power (yet) to push it up.
I know, no one in here wants to hear this, but we are in for a booooring time (+/-$30 around 255 for the next weeks). Sorry.
I know, no one in here wants to hear this, but we are in for a booooring time (+/-$30 around 255 for the next weeks). Sorry.
I like to read the bull vs. bear stories a lot. But for now stability is king.
No one wants to read this (because it is the blind spot of most market participants).
Next thing (around May) will be a slowly increasing price. As it still provides the "necessary" uncertainty for the current market situation. -> Bulls will be frightened to buy and sell and bears will be evermore frightened to short. Give this market some more time (months) to evolve.
ATM there is neither the need for a lower nor a higher price for the market to function well. Both doom and gloom have shortcomings we are not able to calculate in the price very well -> hence we stay where we are.
Edit: A possible intra-day flash crash including a fast recovery is totally possible at all times. This post is about beeing cautious, what the market wants vs. what market participants want.
No one wants to read this (because it is the blind spot of most market participants).
Next thing (around May) will be a slowly increasing price. As it still provides the "necessary" uncertainty for the current market situation. -> Bulls will be frightened to buy and sell and bears will be evermore frightened to short. Give this market some more time (months) to evolve.
ATM there is neither the need for a lower nor a higher price for the market to function well. Both doom and gloom have shortcomings we are not able to calculate in the price very well -> hence we stay where we are.
Edit: A possible intra-day flash crash including a fast recovery is totally possible at all times. This post is about beeing cautious, what the market wants vs. what market participants want.