Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
Cassius
on 28/04/2015, 15:22:15 UTC
Dump failed

Starting to think $220 is to bears what $300 was to bulls

Kind of surprised

I think a lot of you forget that $220 or so is mining cost for a lot of operations. It would be surprising to me if we went lower for a long period of time. If you truly believe that is the case you should not be invested. Everyone remember how much hash rate dropped off the network in the Jan 15 drop to $166? If we had stayed at those levels and the hash stayed shut down there would have been major network problems for weeks. Block times/transaction times would have been a disaster. Watch the media coverage if that happens. It will not be good for anyone. Bear or Bull.

And before anyone argues that the Chinese miners have costs lower than that. ASIC development and deployment has slowed to a crawl compared to most of last year. If there really was money to be made in China wouldn't we be seeing huge farms coming online? It wouldn't take much to push the rest of the world out of mining if that were the case.

Actually difficulty/hashrate does not affect the working of the blockchain, difficulty is made artificially high when the hashrate rises to keep block time stable. The blockchain will move the same regardless of high or low hashrate (drastic drops in hashrate can cause high block time until it adjusts, but that's all).

This. You might get one long block, that's all though. Difficulty adjusts and you're back to 10 minute average. The network functioned just fine when hashrate was much lower. Personally I'd like to see less institutional mining anyway, so I won't cry if big miners have to switch off because they're not making ends meet.