Post
Topic
Board Securities
Re: S.DICE - Want a piece of SatoshiDICE? IPO this week before new site launch!
by
evoorhees
on 24/08/2012, 23:52:21 UTC

UPDATED STATS (Aug 24)

When the IPO was announced about 6 days ago, the P/E ratio was 10x.  Some people said that was too high of a valuation and we've been debating this as is proper.

I updated the stats today to reflect the past week of numbers, as well as added a new metric showing P/E based on past 30 days (not based on all time performance).

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aiec3-Eo_yO5dG5SQklHZG4wRm1GMW9DRWpMMW5UQkE#gid=0

Current P/E based on all-time performance:  8.79x
Current P/E based on past 30 days performance:  4.72x

Thus, if SatoshiDICE remains flat from here, and neither grows nor shrinks in usage from actual past 30 days' performance, it's priced at a 4.72x multiple. Annual dividend yield of IPO prices is 21.20%

I can't stress enough that all these numbers are based on actual real-life performance, they are not wild-eyed estimates of possible future growth figures, etc. I think it will be hard to continue to argue that this asset is priced unreasonably.

You're still calculating P/S ratios, not P/E ratios.
Also, you can't use 320k as your numerator when calculating these P/S ("P/E") ratios, since you plan to sell most of your shares with higher prices, making effective avg. price of your share as .00345, not .00320.

Correct P/E (not P/S) ratios are:
Current P/E based on all-time performance:  9.95x (down from 11)
Current P/E based on past 30 days performance:  5.22x

And annual dividend yield of IPO prices is 19.15%. Why are you defrauding your investors?

My bad cedus, you are correct re: the math. I didn't avg the IPO shares, only used the first block which are selling for .0032.

Not sure what your "p/s" vs "p/e" distinction is, though?  And please don't ask snide rhetorical questions, I'm not defrauding anybody. I made a mistake.