hehehehe..
These are the only facts I need to hear to make a sane educated guess as to the outcome...
Simple math will answer this one easily...

Id does make a very important implicit assumption; that BTC value will remain more or less stable. If Prirate's big secret is that he hacked sha256 or has been mining a forked chain on asics for half a year, that assumption might be very wrong.
Aliens... with extraterrestrial quantum computers! I heard they sell them for 500kBTC!