ryan, mind to tell us how many much billions you and your group has made? 
Probably not billions, but probably a 'little' more than you
ryan what do you think about shell?
I don't think about 'coins' at all persay.
And since this is virually a brand new market (SHELL) I look at the oppourtunity of the trade as represented by 1. The force of the marketing behind it, and 2. the 'probability' of me putting in $100 and drawing out $200 - $1,000 and drawing out $2,000 and so on, it's really that simple
By jumping in yesterday, i clearly saw an opportunity there - as for wether or not the momentum will grow and the price will rocket past the 300% advancement that it produced yesterday, that's another story.
Try not to think so much about the actual 'coin,' if it's a brand new coin, look at the power of the marketing.
Is the community fairly active, is there something in the main ANN posting that would make 'the majority' (unskilled traders) buy - you see, you never judge a brand new coin with the mind of intellegence, you have to judge a brand new coin from the perspective of a complete market novice - and, for the most part, a market novice is not looking at any technical feature of the coin, they are simply basing 100% of their buying decision on marketing
So never assume that everyone in the market is intellegent, that will keep you poor. You have to assume that everyone is ignorant and blind to the true mechanics of price movement (because they are) and this frame of thought puts you in position to take advantage of this
With a more established coin, there are of course several other factors to consider.