itod, I couldn't agree more. I created a dice game with the same random number generator as just-dice. I actually use a real jd server/client seed to generate the sample set to test against.
The problem this last run was that I modified the strategy to be less aggressive. I *think* there was actually a good chance I would have hit the 10k before that bust streak had I continued aggressively as I began.
I am playing with a modification of martingale now that is showing promise, but I've really only tested it with a few seeds and less than a billion rolls. (Hammering off 100 million rolls only takes a few seconds.)
If anyone is interested, I created a loss streak simulator at streakcalc.azurewebsites.net. Each time you click roll, the results are calculated live, so you might want to run it a few times to get a good idea of what to expect.
If you run 100 million rolls at 9% a few times, you will see that the 160+ loss streak is somewhat rare, but not impossible by any means.
I simply gambled that 10k came before 160 losses. Sucks to be wrong, but the next round I might be right
See you on Just-Dice.com
Tiger
*edit* Thanks omahapoker! Hope you are around if/when I do get this right
I'm sure I'll need more like 11k to reach my goal after all the celebration tips go out!
The problem this last run was that I modified the strategy to be less aggressive. I *think* there was actually a good chance I would have hit the 10k before that bust streak had I continued aggressively as I began.
I am playing with a modification of martingale now that is showing promise, but I've really only tested it with a few seeds and less than a billion rolls. (Hammering off 100 million rolls only takes a few seconds.)
If anyone is interested, I created a loss streak simulator at streakcalc.azurewebsites.net. Each time you click roll, the results are calculated live, so you might want to run it a few times to get a good idea of what to expect.
If you run 100 million rolls at 9% a few times, you will see that the 160+ loss streak is somewhat rare, but not impossible by any means.
I simply gambled that 10k came before 160 losses. Sucks to be wrong, but the next round I might be right
See you on Just-Dice.com
Tiger
*edit* Thanks omahapoker! Hope you are around if/when I do get this right
I'm sure I'll need more like 11k to reach my goal after all the celebration tips go out!