Yes pirates very likely to hand over $50000 to someone he probably doesn't like after scamming half a million off close forum friends :s
The coins are in escrow, and yes it's very likely that nanotube hands over the money.
Have you noticed that nanotube hasn't been very active on the forums lately? It makes you stop and think..
Was the bet not yet paid out? If not why not?
Also from talking to nanotube before the bet I think he knew Pirate was going to lose before it was made public. That is just what my gut tells me.
Something seems off...