Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: Bitcoin or gold?
by
johnyj
on 18/06/2015, 03:59:25 UTC
Volatility must be compared at a risk adjusted basis. After adjust the risk to same 5% per year level using lower leverage, the bitcoin outperforms every single investment in the world

I think you can't do that without losing touch with reality. While you can safely throw away the probability of the gold price going to zero, but how are going to adjust the risk of the Bitcoin price hitting zero to 5% per year? I guess you could do that mathematically (thus obtaining astronomical annual profits), but would it make any sense economically?

When you comparing the financial performance of any assets, you only compare the historical performance, never the future. No one can tell the future, even for gold, it might drop to cents if some central banks decided to cash out their reserves. I can give you many reasons that bitcoin price will never hit zero but that is just subjective opinion like your opinion on gold, no use for evaluating the risk/reward ratio of certain assets