heres how bad it is, credit goes to dooglus for compiling this:

multiplier, win chance, edge

6613x  0.02% 32.26%
3968x  0.03% 19.04%
2834x  0.04% 13.36%
2204x  0.05% 10.20%
1803x  0.06%  8.18%
1526x  0.07%  6.82%
1322x  0.08%  5.76%
1167x  0.09%  5.03%
1044x  0.10%  4.40%
 944x  0.11%  3.84%
 862x  0.12%  3.44%
 793x  0.13%  3.09%
 734x  0.14%  2.76%
 684x  0.15%  2.60%
 640x  0.16%  2.40%
 601x  0.17%  2.17%
 566x  0.18%  1.88%
 536x  0.19%  1.84%
 508x  0.20%  1.60%
 483x  0.21%  1.43%
 461x  0.22%  1.42%
 440x  0.23%  1.20%
 422x  0.24%  1.28%
 404x  0.25%  1.00%
 389x  0.26%  1.14%
 374x  0.27%  0.98%
 360x  0.28%  0.80%
 348x  0.29%  0.92%
 336x  0.30%  0.80%
 325x  0.31%  0.75%
 314x  0.32%  0.48%
 305x  0.33%  0.65%
 296x  0.34%  0.64%
 287x  0.35%  0.45%
 279x  0.36%  0.44%
 271x  0.37%  0.27%
 264x  0.38%  0.32%
 257x  0.39%  0.23%
 251x  0.40%  0.40%
 244x  0.41%  0.04%
 239x  0.42%  0.38%
 233x  0.43%  0.19%
 228x  0.44%  0.32%
 218x  0.46%  0.28%
 213x  0.47%  0.11%
 182x  0.55%  0.10%