Would the orphans % be number of orphans / total stakes (valid + orphans)
Yes.
for the last week.
date Starting balance Stakes Percentage orphans. orphan %
7/13 2546 5 .1963
7/12 2540 6 .2362
7/11 2537 3 .1182 1 25%
7/10 2532 5 .1975 1 17%
7/09 2531 1 .0395 1 50%
7/08 2531 0 0
7/07 2527 4 .1583 1 20%
7/06 2519 8 .3176
I guess 2500 is too small a number to quickly get an idea of the orphan rate, but that looks like 4 orphans out of 36 stakes, or 11% so far. The variance is huge, with your daily orphan rate ranging from 0% to 50%...
Went back and looked at Mar/Apr and May. I didn't have the patience to calculate how many Clams I had on each dates, so I just looked at the total stakes Vs orphans.
March 131 stakes 5 orphans. 3.7%
April 124 stakes 8 orphans 6%
May 141 stakes 0 orphans
April was interesting. There were 5 orphans between the 5th and 7th. I don't remember anything going on, on my end at that time...
Then just for giggles I went back to Oct. This would be before JD came online
Oct 61 stakes 3 orphans. 4.7%
So I don't think the 15% orphan theory is really holding up. I'm guessing I end up averaging about 4-6% orphans. And that hasn't really changed since JD started.
I was going to look at Nov, but the 11th was he hard fork, and I ended up on the wrong chain for a little while. 24 orphans in 3 hours... not good for the statistics.