Also, does you modeling predict more social unrest? It seems like the US has been preparing for this for some time, will there be some sort of false flag/computer bug/ cyber attack that will spur things this fall?
Armstrong does also incorporate a Cycle of War model and yes it is pointing to 2017 as the start of intra- (aka civil unrest) and international war. Also about that time or 2018 is Pandemic Cycle (backtested since beginning of recorded human history as are all of Armstrong's models) is pointing to potentially a pandemic (perhaps war will spread it as was the case for how the Black Death entered Europe).
With that model he was able to pinpoint Ukraine and the start of issues in Ukraine precisely and long before it was on the news or on anyone else's radar.
People are not ready. We are heading into some serious shit and soon.
The cascade model is that the instances of debt crises throughout the EU will accelerate
Okay so what instances are going to happen in 2015 to accelerate things? Greece appears, for now, to be deferred until 2016.
I haven't been studying it that closely (so much crap lurking and my head is in the programming sand), but the instances will accelerate (even in 2015) and come from all over the place, especially in 2016.
Probably some rating agency downgrade, Basel deadline, or something just after the Europeans get back from summer vacations after August. Something big will happen in September. Armstrong will probably home in on it soon. I'll be paying attention and bump the thread once I am aware of it. I remember something Armstrong wrote about a requirement on Greece that comes in August or September...
This exhale on Greece will be very short-lived. The episodes of calm will become shorter and shorter, and volatility will increase and increase. October is the BIG BANG.
P.S. Note I prepended to my prior post.
Edit: I maintain move to dollar cash until after October. Then on those lows move to dollars, US stocks, gold, and crypto. After 2017, my only hope is on crypto. After 2020, try to invest in Asia if you can hide it from your home countries' capital controls and virtual/proxied internment of yourself where ever you may roam.
Edit#2: Armstrong's computer model for the Euro chart points to a big event in September (the Composite bar at top row) with Volatility increasing in August after quieting in July which will be very significant Long-term and Directional change in September:
I believe he called for 0.85 level so perhaps it will break down through to the lowest purple trendline sometime between November and January. Note the bright yellow Trading cycle in February, so that might be the low for the Euro?