the single largest factor which i can identify as likely to trigger an xmr bull run is capital controls in europe.  when peripheral sovereign spreads blow up again, it means the ecb gets desperate in the face of failure and capital controls are imminent.  the next most likely trigger is a publicized series of arrests of darknet market players, particularly if demonstrably related to blockchain analysis.  that would chill btc blackmarkets and xmr is the most fit competitor.  synergetic scenarios are possible as well, but less likely.  for example, greek barter economy adopts btc, tax arrests follow...


i think europe and east asia are the most likely sources of a demand impulse.