To recap past discussions, one can not be entirely sure how the world politics will play out.

So it is even philosophical from the standpoint of each person's view on the landscape out there.

I understand you meant philosophical on whether removal of anonymity is equivalent to a shut down. The reason I make the distinction is because humans have a tendency to conform in order to cope, so the government can maybe get what it wants which is compliance without destroying the entire Monero economy. Again that is one person's view point on the world landscape, so not to be taken as gospel. Last time I checked, my crystal ball wasn't perfect, lol.