But I think the major one is lack of clarity to what the total coins will be. I'm hearing 4 billion and then a continual 30,000 added. But tohers are quoting larger numbers.
I wrote a script to tell you how many coins there will be at block height X, and then give a rough approximation of what date that will happen.
http://play.golang.org/p/h_UftCe8-3It would be nice if someone could turn this into a graph
That was a rookie error by the dev if is this is true. I'm not sure why the dev is puzzled by the price when the emissions are so high, so early on.
Perhaps so. Right now there are 4.7 billion coins. Exactly 1 year from now, my script estimates that there will be 19.6 billion coins. And 2 years from now, 31.0 billion coins.
The inflation curve is much less than Bitcoin's inflation curve for the first year. But at the same time, the first year of bitcoin's were worth almost exactly nothing and were owned by 1 or 2 people total.
To keep the price steady, Sia needs to grow by 4x over the next year. That seems virtually inevitable to me. This week alone Sia grew by about 15%. (despite the price crash)
I'm guessing the supply of coins will also drop fairly substantially one a mining pool is out. There are a lot more people who will be happy to mine on their home rigs and that will push margins down for the giant farm miners, which will send many of them to other coins. People mining on home rigs are less likely to dump.