imo BTC will go down now for a bit
No one knows for sure, it is all sheer speculation (a little bit of this, a little bit of that). But your stash should gain despite the price swings
it will stay around the current level for some time. one day it goes up a few bucks, and the other day down a few bucks. too many people are waiting for the price to move.
That's also true. We are waiting on china to make their next play.