One of the reasons I don't fully adopt M. Armstrong's ideas is that he often predicts facts that he has no historical data to map them fully. Imagine a problem consisted from 5 equations with 6 or 7 unknown variables. You can only guess! Yes, there's a great chance you're going to match a couple of them right, but under no circumstances you would be sure about all of them.
I agree, but I think it was TPTB_need_war who mentioned a while back that he'd observed that if MA puts a "?" in the title, like he did here with
"Germany & Austria Close Borders - Schengen Agreement Under Pressure - Will War Emerge?", then it's often a hunch or him thinking-out-loud.
Yeah there is a lot of his personal opinion/observation, backed by a lot of extensive knowledge on his blog. It's what makes his blog very interesting- he condenses a lot of info in just a few paragraphs.