Now you are obviously trying to backpedal this issue. You say that the longer the price stays at $230, the less chance it has to drop below $200. What is it if not predicting an unpredictable thing? Generally, it is irrelevant (how long it stays there), but in reality it works quite the other way round (as I said)...
man you're not understanding, it's not repeating anything it's only a guess like i said above, it's not like because i don't know a thing i can't have an opinion on it
if you simply want to say "i don't know" fair enough, but from my point of view i want to guess about the possible direction and i believe will not go down because of the reason i said above, all this semantic no sense it's useless
As I said, there are no grounds for assuming that if the price stays long enough at one level, it won't go down. This is what you said and meant. I don't care about your delusions and biases (in fact, I profit by them), but only as long as you don't voice them (pretending to be true) since it is a dangerous one...