I do believe in Armstrong cycles, as everything around us is in cycles. It is also obviously that situation is serious and can escalated quickly. I agree war is because of financial shit. I just focused on oil and Middle east. What ever I look at, I end up there. For instance http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-09-23/qatar-wealth-fund-may-have-lost-billions-on-vw-glencore-stakes