I'm now going to switch back to "BIP101/XT died for our sins", because it will be clear that it did, should the block size increase.
Nope, block sizes are dead certain to increase at some point and they always were. But if you feel better believing in the tooth fairy, feel free.
A Pre-emptive strike!
Yes they are, and if you want to believe that mike, gavin, XT and BIP101 had nothing to do with making that happen sooner rather than later, then feel free.
I like how you portray me as having all the answers yet you pretend to be absolutely right about this one.
Let me guess, you feel it in your guts, right? You're just going to ignore that it was Matt Corallo that engaged the debate on the dev mailing list and that two months later Mike & Gavin decided they wouldn't play ball anymore and decide to stifle discussions and launch their failed coup?
I don't have all the answers, you are right. I'm not pretending to be right, I'm having a contrary opinion to the previous poster (whilst also agreeing with his initial premise). That's allowed isn't it?
If you are referring to
this post Matt Corallo was *responding* to Gavin's blog posts... (I assume that's what you mean by engaging the debate?)
Maybe, if Gavin hadn't made those posts, we'd be in exactly the same place right now. Maybe Matt would have posted something anyway. Maybe everything would have progressed exactly the same. IMHO I doubt it, but as you rightly said, I can't know that for sure.