Just because you recognize a chain of payment it does not mean every fork is a payment for GLBSE users.
Near all of the reported payments was done in these chains. I looked at the chains, found a pattern and finally I presented my best guess.
I used phrases like "I'm sure" or "I'm convinced", to show I present my opinion about a very probable event.
To proof otherwise we would have to sum all unreturned BTC (what people are waiting for) and see how big is the total in comparison to ~9000 BTC.
You are speculating over the expectation that all GLBSE users have being paid in every fork with no evidence whatsoever.
Not
all, but most of them. The last 1000 BTC didn't go to proper people, so they have got nothing and are still waiting.
If you verify the taint analysis of few payments declared in this thread, you will realize that such payments does not come from a payment chain.
Just a few (I found just the two of Psychotic Boy's payments). Most of the rest are from 3762 BTC chain.
For me, the timing of the chains confirms the returning of the money but it also shows another thing: it is not done fully automatic (like me or many others would do), but rather by a group of commands - many small scripts written by hand. As such it is quite slow and prone to errors. It worries me. It is not a good sign for successful passing of the assets info to the issuers.
Augusto, you have much greater experience with Bitcoin - do you see here any different pattern?