My hypothesis is that the transition to the next XMR bull market will be sudden, not gradual. People will be wondering whether XMR is dead in one moment; in the next, it will be rocketing to .01 per bitcoin or beyond.
That's exactly what will happen, it's the same in all altcoins.
The big question is when will it happen, and how deep it will perhaps dump, to shake out the week hands and fill the bags before the one with the filled bags will push it up fast and hard.
A good recent example for that action is CLAMS in my view, look at the 29 nov dump, and the topics shortly after "is clams dead", "why the price drop" ... and then, boom it explodes to the upside, noobs sold out of fear and someone pushed it up after. It's often the same play.