Post
Topic
Board Mining software (miners)
Re: CGMINER GPU FPGA overc monit fanspd RPC stratum linux/windows/osx/mip/r-pi 2.9.5
by
crazyates
on 30/11/2012, 16:37:46 UTC
What I really worry about, is that new hardware will continue to come out frequently enough that people end up on a cycle of investing in hardware that basically never pays itself off as slightly newer hardware and higher diffs keep coming out. Sure at some stage the limits of technology will be reached, but given the best tech at the moment is going to be 65nm ASICs when CPUs are 28nm devices, I can see the cycle going on for some time, and then even if btc mining ASICs end up in line with CPU manufacturers, they still continue to evolve over time. Dramatic profits from ASICs will likely only last a couple of weeks at most for a lucky few. The rest of you who paid for devices that don't even exist yet will not be making any magical profit no matter how big the hashrate appears. Your proportion of the total bitcoin hashrate will remain pitiful.

Sigh...
There's definitely some merit to this, but remember, the exact same thing happens with Video Cards, every 9-12 months the new GPU cards hit the market and are more efficient at mining.  Of course video cards are much less expensive than the current round of ASIC's and can be resold.
Not *that* much more expensive.  A 7990 will run you real close to what a 74GH/s bASIC will.

M
Show me a single person who bought a 7990 for mining purposes.

@Meatball - While new video cards came out every 9-12 months, not all of them were *that* much better at mining. The 5xxx cards were great, and the 6xxx cards were only a minor improvement, if that. The 7xxx cards brought higher speed and lower power, but not enough to make the 5xxx useless or unprofitable in any way. I'm hoping ASICs will be similar to this: 2nd and 3rd gen ASICs might be faster and/or use less power, but the 1st gen will still be profitable for quite a while.