In theory, Bitcoin is will scale even to visa level txs and beyond based solely on technological advances. The probability of that happening is actually 100% unless we somehow fail as a civilization, have a 3rd world war, a meteor hits earth etc etc. Otherwise, in 20-30-40 years, a 10gb block will be the equivalent of a 1mb one. It's like PCs went from kilobytes of ram, to megabytes, to gigabytes and home connections went from a few bytes per second to megabytes per second.
Bitcoin will never scale to Visa levels or beyond if you're talking about on chain transactions. Never. Even with the foolish BIP101 Bitcoin would only reach the same transaction capacity of the 2015 Visa in ~2030. By then Visa would be handling a much higher amount of transactions and thus Bitcoin would be always behind. Decentralized solutions do not scale efficiently as centralized ones; thus we need to work on the second layer with technologies such as LN which will enable exponential growth.
Someone did make a good point about why this political fork is bad (can't recall who was it). It feels like someone is testing if a political fork can be successful. Once we do this once, who's to say that it won't happen again?