If no one else does it, i'll go through it for that bet and see what it should be
My (untested) calculations:
The kelly for that bet is a staggering 0.353028752 (aka the house should risk 35% of it's bankroll)?! wtf?
Seems rather unintuitive, and likely I made a mistake (and possibly twice, once when first writing the generalize kelly code).
Most of the work is in inverting the bet to be from the houses perspective, so here's what I came up with if it is of any help to anyone:
{ profit: -4800000000, probability: 0.0000152587890625 },
{ profit: -1840000000, probability: 0.000244140625 },
{ profit: -480000000, probability: 0.0018310546875 },
{ profit: -160000000, probability: 0.008544921875 },
{ profit: -80000000, probability: 0.02777099609375 },
{ profit: -16000000, probability: 0.066650390625 },
{ profit: -0, probability: 0.1221923828125 },
{ profit: 20000000, probability: 0.174560546875 },
{ profit: 28000000, probability: 0.196380615234375 },
{ profit: 20000000, probability: 0.174560546875 },
{ profit: -0, probability: 0.1221923828125 },
{ profit: -16000000, probability: 0.066650390625 },
{ profit: -80000000, probability: 0.02777099609375 },
{ profit: -160000000, probability: 0.008544921875 },
{ profit: -480000000, probability: 0.0018310546875 },
{ profit: -1840000000, probability: 0.000244140625 },
{ profit: -4800000000, probability: 0.0000152587890625 }