Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion
by
sloanf
on 31/01/2016, 17:41:49 UTC
I did innumerable times present all of this documentation. Go read all of AnonyMint's archives. Then come back in one month after you are done.

Again, all you do is just making claims with nothing to back them up. Bring everything relevant here (not just random texts, opinions and your claims supported by nothing but your or MA’s claims) because this thread is for exactly that purpose and that’s what we are discussing here. And be specific.

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Also you could watch the movie about Armstrong which was vetted by the attorneys of the fact insurance company. I already told you that, but you refuse to go buy the movie.

Again, I asked you to bring any proof you have
Again, do you have any evidence to support your claim? Any documents, articles, comments from insurance company\lawyers (if they do exist), media, etc. from which we could infer that qualified people did look into MA’s case and concluded that he did not cheat? If yes, bring them here. All we have so far is some film made by unknown people and shown in a very few locations to a very limited audience.

Yet you keep posting empty claims that some attorneys\insurance company (name them, where are their documents, interviews, comments) allegedly vetted something (what exactly?).

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The so called "facts" you claim to present are very poorly researched with very loose comb that has already demonstrated you don't even comprehend what he has been writing, and thus are not the facts. I will not go backwards to resummarize all the posts I did over 3 years. You go read them and learn.

What exactly was “very poorly researched”? Articles from NYT and Bloomberg? Or the SEC documents? Or MA reports and posts I cited?

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And doing it from a newbie account and you won't tell us who you are. You are not even confident enough to put your personal reputation on the line, yet you put MA's reputation on the line. Everyone knows my real identity.

I already addressed that here

Why do you hide behind a newbie sock puppet account? Who are you on this forum formerly and what is your reputation on this forum? Or who are you in real life, what is your real name? My real name is Shelby Moore III.
This is the first time I am on this forum. It does not matter who I am here or in real life since the topic is not about me. And not even about you.

but since you are so stupid let me go over it once again. Nobody gives a f about who you are. Nor does anyone care about your reputation even if you ever had one. People are here to examine facts and evidence about MA and his claims.

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Do you understand that you are wasting and consuming my very scarce and important time. And this is making me and others here angry.

Again, nobody gives a damn about your time or whether you’re angry. People are here to find out facts on MA and form their opinion based on relevant and proven information (not on your empty claims, religious biases, outright stupidity, deep insecurities, etc). And I am here doing exactly what people are here for by bringing that information supported by facts and evidence, checking claims, asking questions and so on.

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And predicting quite accurately inspite of your inability to understand what he has predicted.

I already refuted you nonsense about his real estate prediction being wrong. His chart on the real estate has never changed. It always predicted a bounce from 2007 to 2012, but not to new highs in internationally inflation adjusted value. You don't pay attention to that detail. He model is global, not domestic so it uses international inflation adjusted value.


How many times do we have to go through this? As with everything else, as we have seen above, you are not able to get things from the first/second/third time. Ok, let’s do it again.

That real estate picture that MA claims to have drawn in 1979 uses the Case-Shiller home price index. Back then there was nothing like “internationally inflation adjusted value“ and nowhere was it mentioned by MA or anybody. He started to exploit this trick relatively recently when it became obvious that he failed yet another of his numerous predictions so he had to cover his ass by making it up. Interestingly, he uses that IIM trick on real estate because, as he argues, real estate attracts global money but at the same time he does not use IIM when he makes predictions on the Dow, Gold, Nikkei and so on (which also attract global capital).

Now, if you compare the index and the picture, you’ll easily find out that they do not match (put it mildly). First, the index had been rising without any drop up until 2006 (the MA’s graph predicted drops after every 8.6 years). Second, the absolute high according to MA should have been reached in 2007.15, but in reality the S&P Case-Shiller topped in 2006 https://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/series/CSUSHPINSA, http://www.spindices.com/index-family/real-estate/sp-case-shiller, and the original Case-Shiller topped in 2005 http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm
Third, the index significantly recovered and keeps rising, contrary to what MA predicted.

Here is another dirty trick that MA used. When real estate picked he did not say anything. Only after the crisis hit and real estate plunged he came out and claimed that he’d predicted the top. Not only that, he claimed that he predicted the top to the day referencing to (wait!) the S&P Reit index. Again, there was nothing about “internationally inflation adjusted value“ or any of such bs. But wait, there’s more. The S&P Reit includes not only home RE, but everything else such as residential, office, health-care, hotels, etc. In other words, from very beginning he used the Case-Shiller (only home RE). Then when it didn’t work out, he switched to the S&P Reit which tracks all RE, and now he switches again by bs people with a new trick called “internationally inflation adjusted value“.

I am curious to see what else is he going to come up with when his post-2015 forecast eventually fails.  

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And?