I hold true that the network must be above 95% for 95% to be reached.
The simplest argument is that every miner must convert to the 'new fork' before they can find a 'new fork' block.
That time that they convert will be, on average, half way between their 'previous fork' block and their 'new fork' block.
When miners are producing 'new fork' blocks they obviously must have convert before that.