I never take any new altcoin seriously.
Then you won't necessarily buy at the very low prices if Bitcoin's adoption and price history is duplicated.
Of course though I agree with you, but I can analyze which coin will be the next Bitcoin so I will likely know it very early. You probably can't.
Yours would be the only altcoin I would not hesitate to buy right off the bat, no questions asked. And you are absolutely right about my skill set.