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I am NOT very good with statistics, but wouldn't the odds of "getting lucky" be infinitesimal without owning many hundreds (or thousands) of masternodes? Wouldn't the odds of securing an entire 10 MN quorum be on the order of:
#MNs Controlled / (3500 * 3499 * 3498 * 3497 * 3496 * 3495 * 3494 * 3493 * 3492 * 3491)
Or am I wrong?
With respect to economic incentive, good point. But the amount offered would have to be significantly greater than the market value, I would imagine. Also, surely any government realizes it would be very easy to just launch an entire new blockchain with the same code, yes? So why bother?
Should be more like this :
% to be elected 10 in a raw = (#MNs Controlled / 3500 ) * (#MNs Controlled -1 ) / (3500 -1) * ... * (#MNs Controlled - 9) / (3500 - 9) *100