The original was specifically developed for the ASIC transition, would you say that difficulty increasing by a factor of 10 over the year after the first ASICS come online is realistic?
It will probably be more than that. But it will also have a different shape than steady exponential growth.
The time period will probably be more or the growth factor of difficulty will probably be more? It will precede in waves with each new shipment of ASICS, but how can I model that?