The point is: there is no (known) reason to move exactly now
- Thus it is reasonable to assume that the price of the next days will be in between now and a week ago.
The market at Yuanbaohui could be more representative/independent since it also has high volume - but only chinese people can sign up.
The fact is fishy, that Yuanbaohui temporary disabled withdrawals since exactly march 3, just in time before the rise or pump of Factom started, and still did not comment on it further. In other words was Yuanboahui's factom client attacked specifically?
You're wrong and judging by your other posts I would recommend you close your shorts. I like that you're an active investor though so kudos. Most developers these days think they are above active investors and traders but without us this project would've never come to fruition so they should respect the cock.
If you want to get the bottom of that chinese exchange find their cold wallet. I doubt it exists to the degree they claim and that's why they suspend withdrawals thus nobody trading Factom gives a shit.