Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: 0.001 BTC to 1 BTC Challenge [sports betting]
by
niagwai
on 10/03/2016, 03:21:32 UTC
NHL: The LA Kings are the lowest scoring team in the Western Conference, and second lowest scoring team in all the NHL, scoring an average of 4.8 goals per match. The Washington Captials have had their last 5 games in a row go under 5.5 goals.

WSH goalie HOLTBY: 2.28 GAA, and LA goalie QUICK: 2.24 GAA.

I expect there to be few goals in the match, so I am risking 0.001 BTC on under 4.5 goals @2.59 odds:
https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/ee2b477NDBZTkwzSmFoWTJOR2h5WjhzQXdWZz09/r/595422/

http://www.flashscore.com/match/Q5b9szoq/#match-summary

*
LA Kings opened the first period quickly scoring three goals. Holtby did not play well. The huge deficit changed the dynamic of the game, and Washington took more risks going forward. Somehow they came back from 0-3 in the third period with three goals of their own taking the game into OT.

Both teams did not perform to their average past performance as they let in more goals. Maybe it is wrong of me to expect a player or team to perform to their average past performance. There has to be more of a range a team/player is expected to play in. I suppose I did not consider the range of possible performance, and the range of probable performance of both teams. What are a team's/player's limits? What are the capable of, what are they not capable of? These are questions I need to consider more.

profit (-0.0065 btc)