Post
Topic
Board Gambling discussion
Re: 0.001 BTC to 1 BTC Challenge [sports betting]
by
niagwai
on 11/03/2016, 03:36:50 UTC
NHL: NJ Devils Backup Keith Kinkaid has allowed 10 goals in his last two starts. In NJ Devils last 5 games they are 1-4, and all 4 losses were by more than two goals. I'm betting against this goalie Kinkaid, betting 0.001 BTC on Sharks -1.5 goals @2.25 odds:
https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/951a193SEZqMlJyNUVGMmpPaHRQeVRmdVphUT09/r/595422/
http://www.flashscore.com/match/YV1HuEFe/#match-summary

*
Sharks already down 0-2. What's happening? For starters the Sharks are not scoring. Sharks-Devils shots (26-15), Faceoffs (22-23), and the Devils scored in the 2nd period with only 3 shots, and the Devils scored in the 3rd period with only 5 shots. They've made 2 goals in 8 shots, pretty efficient. I don't understand how the game is unfolding and I need to look more into NHL stats. What NHL advanced stats are important to understanding games? There is one thing I did just notice:

This year...
Devils win 51% of their games OT included
Devils win 48.5% of their games at home OT included
Devils win 51.6% of their games on the road OT included

Sharks win 60% of their games OT included
Sharks win 45.5% of their games at home OT included
Sharks win 70% of their games on the road OT included

http://www.sportingcharts.com/nhl/stats/team-home-and-away-winning-percentages/2015/

Devils win more of their away games than Sharks win home games... Sharks seem to perform worse at home. Why, I have no clue. Devils win 51.6% of their games on the road... Sharks win 45.5% of their games at home. The prematch odds OT Included were Sharks @1.39, Devils @3.26. So according to their season win %s the Devils should have been the play.

I guess the NJ backup goalie Kinkaid is having a good game, and I was mislead by him giving up 10 goals in his last two starts. He's going on a shutout right now. I don't know about his surrounding cast, if they were different for those games. I was wrong about him and the Devils. This is not something that happens often... the announcer just said it's been TWENTY YEARS since the Devils last shut out the Sharks.

I need to make serious adjustments.

profit (-0.0095 BTC)