Re: Prediction Markets at Fairlay - Suggest your own and Bet on them
Is Dilma Rousseff facing her last weeks as the president of Brazil?
At the start of the year there was a lot of talk about Dilma Rousseff and thousands of protesters who took to the streets across Brazil as Dilma's government struggled to lift the economy from its most severe crisis in decades. Well, in few months nothing have changed. In fact, The Economists newest South American cover is going hugely against her:
So, is is her time to go? It is not on her to decide anymore, as on March 18th Brazils congressmen voted to commence impeachment proceedings against the countrys embattled president. Few phases are to be followed as her future will be decided and what is to follow is nicely explained by The Economist:
Ms Rousseff first needs to convince at least 172 lower-house legislators out of 513 to back her. She has ten congressional sessions, or two or three weeks, to present her defence to a special commission. This body then has five sessions to issue a recommendation to the full house, which must vote on it within 48 hours. If Ms Rousseffs foes fall short of 342 votes, the case is buried. Should they succeed, senators must then approve, by an absolute majority of 41 out of 81, to accept the lower-house motion. If they do, a trial of up to 180 days begins, presided over by the chief justice of the Supreme Court. During this period, Ms Rousseff steps down and her vice-president, Michel Temer, temporarily takes her place. If at least 54 senators subsequently vote to remove her, Mr Temer would probably serve out the rest of the term, which ends in 2018.
Will Dilma Rousseff remain the president of Brazil through 2016? Probably not. At the moment, 68% of Brazilians say they favor impeachment, so by the end of the April Dilma Rousseff could be without a job. Still, if you think that she will be the president of Brazil till the end of year you have great odds on that at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/dilma-rousseff-to-remain-president-of-brazil-through-2016/.
What is your opinion on this, and what other markets regarding world politics would you like to see created?
At the start of the year there was a lot of talk about Dilma Rousseff and thousands of protesters who took to the streets across Brazil as Dilma's government struggled to lift the economy from its most severe crisis in decades. Well, in few months nothing have changed. In fact, The Economists newest South American cover is going hugely against her:
So, is is her time to go? It is not on her to decide anymore, as on March 18th Brazils congressmen voted to commence impeachment proceedings against the countrys embattled president. Few phases are to be followed as her future will be decided and what is to follow is nicely explained by The Economist:
Ms Rousseff first needs to convince at least 172 lower-house legislators out of 513 to back her. She has ten congressional sessions, or two or three weeks, to present her defence to a special commission. This body then has five sessions to issue a recommendation to the full house, which must vote on it within 48 hours. If Ms Rousseffs foes fall short of 342 votes, the case is buried. Should they succeed, senators must then approve, by an absolute majority of 41 out of 81, to accept the lower-house motion. If they do, a trial of up to 180 days begins, presided over by the chief justice of the Supreme Court. During this period, Ms Rousseff steps down and her vice-president, Michel Temer, temporarily takes her place. If at least 54 senators subsequently vote to remove her, Mr Temer would probably serve out the rest of the term, which ends in 2018.
Will Dilma Rousseff remain the president of Brazil through 2016? Probably not. At the moment, 68% of Brazilians say they favor impeachment, so by the end of the April Dilma Rousseff could be without a job. Still, if you think that she will be the president of Brazil till the end of year you have great odds on that at Fairlay:
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/dilma-rousseff-to-remain-president-of-brazil-through-2016/.
What is your opinion on this, and what other markets regarding world politics would you like to see created?
It would be great if you added some of the major rowing events.
Great suggestion. We will surely have some of them created in the following days.