it is funny to hear both of you guys talking about "talented" gambler , "experienced" gambler etc , there is no gift from god to anybody to have a gambling talent .
all about luck in this stage, nothing can help a gambler to win except luck, so there is no safe method to gamble but LUCK.
Luck is not a method, it just a accidental and unpredictable thing. You can't blindly bet your money on something just because too depend on your luck. Beside that, you also need statistic or experience to make your chance of winning be higher. Go playing poker and you will find what I mean.