I understand that, and I would like to see a poll on that too; however, since the actual event is so long into the future, it seems that it would clog up the polling system (unless there can be two polls at a time?)... I mean the basic logic that a September poll would not close until September.


Regarding your 95% prediction... gosh.. that is a pretty decent topic too, and I enjoy those kinds of topics.....  yet, I am hardly that certain about anything in life, including what I am going to eat for dinner a few hours later, even if I have made preparations.

So, yep.. it is interesting both in terms of how high the price will be, and what is the likelihood that it will get to that predicted price.  At least the time frame would be set, but there are two more variables.

In the past, I have played around with these kinds of predictions in the past to attempt to assign my ideas of probabilities to various outcomes, and it tends to be a good exercise  to also attempt to align your own investment level with your view of various possible outcomes.

Accordingly, I would venture to assert my view that there is a 95% chance the price will be higher than $350, but maybe I would be too scared to assert greater than a 70% chance that the price would be higher than $450... I still consider myself bullish though...