The goal is to throw a bunch of hash at the right time (gamble), but throw an average amount when two blocks take longer than the expected daily.
Ufo
Hmmmm...isn't that kinda like trying to predict when to bet big on roulette wheel based on previous spins? I don't think that will work because same as each spin of wheel is independent of previous spin (the roulette wheel has no memory), next block that Kano pool is trying to bust has no relation to previous block.
Best method for successful mining is:
1. Mine on Kano
2. Keep steady hash so your 5ND stays steady.
3. Mine on Kano
[edit] Nothing wrong with throwing extra rental hash (assuming good price) once in a while (for fun), but recognize that results are also random. It will increase your 5ND for a bit and if we crack a block during that time you'll get extra profit, but if we don't crack a block, then you'll get less profit because your expense was higher.
Haha! Gamblers never seem to grasp the concept of independent random events. That's where the gambler's fallacy comes from. I once watched a friend playing roulette go all in on black after the wheel hit a string of 26 reds in a row...and it landed on red.