You probably can't tell what it's based on, can you? - Of course I can speculate on few assumptions beyond the irrelevant "old restistances/support".
1) I consider the 1$/AUR a psychological barrier.
2) Summer is coming and as we all know it's dead time for doing business. Because of this I'm expecting a lower adoption pace.
3) First to come into the Icelandic exchange will be connoisseurs and I'm expecting them to start AUR accumulation without pushing up the price too much.
And again these are just speculations and must be treated as such

I don't thinks nobody knows what will happen, as in crypto anything could happen. It could be $1 tomorrow as it can be $0.1 as it could be $10. We don't know. The value of a coin is not pure science. Its very volatile.